Bielefeld University

Economics of Disintegration: Sanctions, trade wars and political tensions

Julian Hinz Last updated on November 27, 2025

General Information

Schedule

There will probably be three sessions: One on modalities, the other two with presentations.

Meetings

The first session takes place on November 27 at 11:00 in room V8-216. Sessions 2 and 3 will follow in February 2026 (date TBC).

Deadlines

To be confirmed for this semester.

List of possible papers

Sanctions and Isolation

  • “The Sword and the Shield: The Economics of Targeted Sanctions,” Rod Ludema and Daniel Ahn. European Economic Review, Volume 130, November 2020. Link to paper
  • “International Isolation and Regional Inequality: Evidence from Sanctions on North Korea,” Yong Suk Lee. Journal of Urban Economics, Vol. 103, 2018. Link to paper
  • “Bearing the cost of politics: Consumer prices and welfare in Russia,” Julian Hinz and Evgenii Monastyrenko. Journal of International Economics, Volume 137, July 2022. Link to paper
  • “When trade stops: Lessons from the Gaza blockade 2007–2010,” Haggay Etkes and Assaf Zimring. Journal of International Economics, Volume 95, Issue 1, January 2015. Link to paper
  • “Smart Sanctions” (formerly titled “Sanctions and Misallocation: How Sanctioned Firms Won and Russia Lost”), Dzhamilya Nigmatulina. Working paper. Link to paper

Trade Wars and Protectionism

  • “The Return to Protectionism,” Pablo Fajgelbaum, Pinelopi Goldberg, Patrick Kennedy, and Amit Khandelwal. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Volume 135, Issue 1, February 2020. Link to paper
  • “Tariffs and Politics: Evidence from Trumps Trade Wars,” Thiemo Fetzer and Carlo Schwarz. The Economic Journal, Volume 131, Issue 636, May 2021. Link to paper
  • “lluminating the Effects of the US-China Tariff War on Chinas Economy,” Davin Chor and Bingjing Li.NBER WORKING PAPER 29349, October 2021. Link to paper

Geoeconomic Fragmentation and Power

  • “Changing global linkages: A new Cold War?,” Gita Gopinath, Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, Andrea F. Presbitero, and Petia Topalova. Journal of International Economics, Volume 153, January 2025. Link to paper
  • “International Power,” Ernest Liu and David Y. Yang. Working paper. Link to paper

Political Economy and Conflict

  • “Make Trade Not War?,” Philippe Martin, Thierry Mayer and Mathias Thoenig. The Review of Economic Studies, Volume 75, Issue 3, July 2008. Link to paper
  • “This Mine Is Mine! How Minerals Fuel Conflicts in Africa,” Nicolas Berman, Mathieu Couttenier, Dominic Rohner and Mathias Thoenig. American Economic Review, Vol 107, No. 6, June 2017. Link to paper
  • “Brexit Vote, Inflation and UK Living Standards,” Thomas Sampson, Holger Breinlich, Elsa Leromain and Dennis Novy.International Economic Review, Vol. 63, No. 1, 2022. Link to paper
  • “Did Austerity Cause Brexit?,” Thiemo Fetzer. American Economic Review, Vol. 109, No. 11, November 2019. Link to paper

Sessions

Session 2: Presentations

February 2026 (exact date TBC)

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Session 3: Presentations — Part 2

February 2026 (exact date TBC)

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